Celebration of Scholars
A Money Driven Dichotomous Union
Name:
Ryan Trower
Major: Finance; Political Science
Hometown: Saint Charles, MO
Faculty Sponsor:
Other Sponsors:
Type of research: Senior thesis
Abstract
Economic health is an issue that every nation struggles with, and the United States of America is no exception. Policy makers, interest groups, media outlets and ordinary citizens constantly propose new ideas for how they believe the economy should be handled, and what policies they prefer to improve it. However, not everyone is aligned in their beliefs on not only the economy, but many different mainstream or obscure issues present today. This difference in beliefs leads to polarization on both the national and individual level. Due to the heavily structured two-party system in the United States, most align to one of two sides; the Republicans or the Democrats. Each party is in a struggle with the other to retain or steal congressional seats and to win the presidency, often citing either economic prosperity or, more often than not, economic disparity to their advantage. However, the rhetoric of the political elite does not only affect the next polling cycle, but could potentially affect the levels of risk averting that consumers feel are necessary in their economic environment.Using economic and congressional voting data, correlations between
polarization and economic health can be considered and could potentially help
explain the levels of co-dependency. With this information, an independent
theory was made looking into potential ranges of economic health that create
ideal environments for polarization to occur, and if high levels of prosperity
or privation could actually lead to political alignment.
This thesis found that
negative rhetoric resulting from the increase in polarization has potential to
negatively affect consumer behavior, resulting in negative economic trends.
Though the correlation study is inconclusive, the research into the economy’s
effect on polarization suggests that the current format of budgetary policy
proposal and approval is vulnerable to political gridlock, resulting in
negative economic conditions. The theory proposed suggests a limit to which the
negative economic conditions caused by polarization are sustainable, after
which a forced political alignment will occur due to necessity.