Celebration of Scholars
Housing Affordability since 1990
Name:
Peter Hegland
Major: Economics
Hometown: Kenosha
Faculty Sponsor:
Julio Rivera
Other Sponsors:
Type of research: Course project
Abstract
This
project examined the average cost of mortgages for first-time home buyers in
the United States over the past 25 years to observe any significant changes
over that time. The underlying question asked in this analysis was, “What is
the threshold that people are willing to pay for a house, and has that
threshold changed over the last 3 decades?”
Null and alternative hypotheses were formed to examine
the question. The null hypothesis was, “There is no
difference in the affordability of houses based on metropolitan status and year
between 1990 and 2015.” The alternative hypothesis was, “There is a difference
in the affordability of houses based on metropolitan status and year between
1990 and 2015.”
A
dataset was extracted from IPUMS to show information on housing, mortgage, and
income levels since 1990, and the hypotheses were tested using a factorial
ANOVA. Two new variables were created for this test:
·
“Total Mortgage Amount” added the values of all monthly mortgage
amount variables and combined them into one.
· This variable was then
multiplied by 12, divided by total household income, and multiplied by 100 to
obtain a percentage value for housing affordability.
These variables allowed comparisons of
housing affordability to be made across the specified 25-year scope of the
analysis.